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Seasonal Analysis of ZUMZ (Zumiez Inc)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 5/6/2005 to 12/2/2019 for ZUMZ (Zumiez Inc), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy ZUMZ is January
Historically, the best month to sell ZUMZ is December

In January, ZUMZ is historically down by -9.84%
In February, ZUMZ is historically up by 1.56%
In March, ZUMZ is historically up by 0.95%
In April, ZUMZ is historically up by 7.89%
In May, ZUMZ is historically up by 0.16%
In June, ZUMZ is historically down by -4.13%
In July, ZUMZ is historically down by -1.08%
In August, ZUMZ is historically down by -5.64%
In September, ZUMZ is historically down by -3.99%
In October, ZUMZ is historically up by 1.06%
In November, ZUMZ is historically up by 1.63%
In December, ZUMZ is historically up by 11.43%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of ZUMZ
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points762
Start Date of Data5/6/2005
End Date of Data12/2/2019
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close6.43
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close51.25
Average Value of Adjusted Close23.59
Median Value of Adjusted Close23.30
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close8.27
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 35.06%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of ZUMZ tends towards a value in the vicinity of 23.59 (the mean) and 23.30 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of ZUMZ goes above 31.87 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 15.32 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of ZUMZ goes above 40.14 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 7.05 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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