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Seasonal Analysis of ZIOP (ZIOPHARM Oncology)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 8/22/2005 to 2/24/2020 for ZIOP (ZIOPHARM Oncology), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy ZIOP is December
Historically, the best month to sell ZIOP is March

In January, ZIOP is historically down by -7.79%
In February, ZIOP is historically down by -1.41%
In March, ZIOP is historically up by 19.29%
In April, ZIOP is historically up by 9.26%
In May, ZIOP is historically up by 7.79%
In June, ZIOP is historically up by 10.12%
In July, ZIOP is historically down by -4.65%
In August, ZIOP is historically down by -7.47%
In September, ZIOP is historically down by -3.20%
In October, ZIOP is historically down by -4.52%
In November, ZIOP is historically down by -2.72%
In December, ZIOP is historically down by -14.69%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of ZIOP
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points746
Start Date of Data8/22/2005
End Date of Data2/24/2020
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close0.51
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close16.00
Average Value of Adjusted Close4.69
Median Value of Adjusted Close4.51
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close2.31
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 49.32%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of ZIOP tends towards a value in the vicinity of 4.69 (the mean) and 4.51 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of ZIOP goes above 7.01 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 2.38 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of ZIOP goes above 9.32 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 0.06 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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