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Seasonal Analysis of YY (JOYY Inc)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 11/21/2012 to 2/24/2020 for YY (JOYY Inc), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy YY is November
Historically, the best month to sell YY is September

In January, YY is historically up by 3.41%
In February, YY is historically down by -6.05%
In March, YY is historically up by 6.04%
In April, YY is historically down by -3.09%
In May, YY is historically down by -1.04%
In June, YY is historically up by 4.79%
In July, YY is historically up by 2.05%
In August, YY is historically down by -3.37%
In September, YY is historically up by 8.16%
In October, YY is historically up by 5.71%
In November, YY is historically down by -8.46%
In December, YY is historically down by -8.14%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of YY
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points380
Start Date of Data11/21/2012
End Date of Data2/24/2020
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close11.32
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close139.89
Average Value of Adjusted Close62.84
Median Value of Adjusted Close60.75
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close23.92
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 38.06%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of YY tends towards a value in the vicinity of 62.84 (the mean) and 60.75 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of YY goes above 86.76 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 38.92 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of YY goes above 110.68 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 15.01 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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