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Seasonal Analysis of YRCW (YRC Worldwide)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 1/3/2000 to 10/16/2017 for YRCW (YRC Worldwide), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy YRCW is April
Historically, the best month to sell YRCW is February

In January, YRCW is historically up by 6.27%
In February, YRCW is historically up by 9.08%
In March, YRCW is historically up by 6.00%
In April, YRCW is historically down by -6.92%
In May, YRCW is historically down by -4.43%
In June, YRCW is historically down by -5.51%
In July, YRCW is historically down by -1.16%
In August, YRCW is historically up by 4.24%
In September, YRCW is historically up by 1.69%
In October, YRCW is historically down by -2.26%
In November, YRCW is historically down by -2.69%
In December, YRCW is historically down by -4.31%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of YRCW
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points929
Start Date of Data1/3/2000
End Date of Data10/16/2017
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close5.11
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close470175.00
Average Value of Adjusted Close112711.95
Median Value of Adjusted Close34275.00
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close130347.61
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 115.64%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of YRCW tends towards a value in the vicinity of 112,711.95 (the mean) and 34,275.00 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of YRCW goes above 243,059.55 (mean + 1 standard deviation) , then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of YRCW goes above 373,407.16 (mean + 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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