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Seasonal Analysis of YELP (Yelp Inc)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 3/2/2012 to 7/27/2020 for YELP (Yelp Inc), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy YELP is April
Historically, the best month to sell YELP is October

In January, YELP is historically up by 6.92%
In February, YELP is historically up by 1.97%
In March, YELP is historically down by -7.91%
In April, YELP is historically down by -12.34%
In May, YELP is historically down by -8.45%
In June, YELP is historically down by -0.26%
In July, YELP is historically down by -0.67%
In August, YELP is historically up by 10.71%
In September, YELP is historically up by 12.89%
In October, YELP is historically up by 13.50%
In November, YELP is historically down by -7.50%
In December, YELP is historically down by -8.87%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of YELP
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points440
Start Date of Data3/2/2012
End Date of Data7/27/2020
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close15.56
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close97.25
Average Value of Adjusted Close38.97
Median Value of Adjusted Close35.24
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close16.34
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 41.93%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of YELP tends towards a value in the vicinity of 38.97 (the mean) and 35.24 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of YELP goes above 55.31 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 22.63 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of YELP goes above 71.65 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 6.29 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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