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Seasonal Analysis of XON (Precigen)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 8/7/2013 to 4/13/2020 for XON (Precigen), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy XON is December
Historically, the best month to sell XON is January

In January, XON is historically up by 17.82%
In February, XON is historically up by 9.95%
In March, XON is historically up by 4.84%
In April, XON is historically down by -2.19%
In May, XON is historically down by -3.72%
In June, XON is historically up by 11.42%
In July, XON is historically up by 15.36%
In August, XON is historically down by -6.28%
In September, XON is historically down by -3.62%
In October, XON is historically down by -13.84%
In November, XON is historically down by -12.40%
In December, XON is historically down by -17.35%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of XON
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points350
Start Date of Data8/7/2013
End Date of Data4/13/2020
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close2.01
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close64.62
Average Value of Adjusted Close21.05
Median Value of Adjusted Close20.71
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close11.65
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 55.33%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of XON tends towards a value in the vicinity of 21.05 (the mean) and 20.71 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of XON goes above 32.69 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 9.40 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of XON goes above 44.34 (mean + 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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