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Seasonal Analysis of XEC (Cimarex Energy Co)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 9/25/2002 to 8/3/2020 for XEC (Cimarex Energy Co), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy XEC is January
Historically, the best month to sell XEC is June

In January, XEC is historically down by -7.09%
In February, XEC is historically down by -0.97%
In March, XEC is historically down by -2.60%
In April, XEC is historically down by -1.17%
In May, XEC is historically up by 2.31%
In June, XEC is historically up by 6.86%
In July, XEC is historically up by 3.00%
In August, XEC is historically down by -0.95%
In September, XEC is historically up by 3.42%
In October, XEC is historically down by -1.41%
In November, XEC is historically down by -1.05%
In December, XEC is historically down by -0.35%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of XEC
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points933
Start Date of Data9/25/2002
End Date of Data8/3/2020
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close12.34
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close140.71
Average Value of Adjusted Close62.59
Median Value of Adjusted Close55.98
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close33.78
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 53.96%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of XEC tends towards a value in the vicinity of 62.59 (the mean) and 55.98 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of XEC goes above 96.36 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 28.81 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of XEC goes above 130.14 (mean + 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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