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Seasonal Analysis of WTFC (Wintrust Financial Corporation)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 9/23/1996 to 8/10/2020 for WTFC (Wintrust Financial Corporation), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy WTFC is March
Historically, the best month to sell WTFC is September

In January, WTFC is historically down by -5.63%
In February, WTFC is historically down by -2.78%
In March, WTFC is historically down by -6.52%
In April, WTFC is historically down by -3.44%
In May, WTFC is historically down by -1.15%
In June, WTFC is historically up by 0.58%
In July, WTFC is historically up by 1.39%
In August, WTFC is historically up by 2.86%
In September, WTFC is historically up by 5.74%
In October, WTFC is historically up by 3.63%
In November, WTFC is historically up by 2.64%
In December, WTFC is historically up by 2.65%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of WTFC
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points1247
Start Date of Data9/23/1996
End Date of Data8/10/2020
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close7.17
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close93.56
Average Value of Adjusted Close35.25
Median Value of Adjusted Close33.77
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close20.07
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 56.92%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of WTFC tends towards a value in the vicinity of 35.25 (the mean) and 33.77 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of WTFC goes above 55.32 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 15.19 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of WTFC goes above 75.39 (mean + 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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