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Seasonal Analysis of WRCDF (Wirecard AG)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 6/24/2009 to 12/2/2019 for WRCDF (Wirecard AG), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy WRCDF is March
Historically, the best month to sell WRCDF is September

In January, WRCDF is historically down by -4.78%
In February, WRCDF is historically down by -12.13%
In March, WRCDF is historically down by -14.17%
In April, WRCDF is historically down by -6.77%
In May, WRCDF is historically up by 0.56%
In June, WRCDF is historically down by -1.86%
In July, WRCDF is historically down by -0.70%
In August, WRCDF is historically up by 7.97%
In September, WRCDF is historically up by 13.88%
In October, WRCDF is historically up by 7.38%
In November, WRCDF is historically up by 3.97%
In December, WRCDF is historically up by 6.65%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of WRCDF
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points388
Start Date of Data6/24/2009
End Date of Data12/2/2019
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close9.47
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close222.39
Average Value of Adjusted Close72.39
Median Value of Adjusted Close45.61
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close53.21
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 73.50%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of WRCDF tends towards a value in the vicinity of 72.39 (the mean) and 45.61 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of WRCDF goes above 125.60 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 19.18 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of WRCDF goes above 178.81 (mean + 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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