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Seasonal Analysis of WRB (W. R. Berkley Corporation)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 3/17/1980 to 8/3/2020 for WRB (W. R. Berkley Corporation), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy WRB is January
Historically, the best month to sell WRB is December

In January, WRB is historically down by -8.76%
In February, WRB is historically down by -3.70%
In March, WRB is historically down by -3.78%
In April, WRB is historically down by -1.50%
In May, WRB is historically down by -0.93%
In June, WRB is historically up by 1.40%
In July, WRB is historically up by 0.75%
In August, WRB is historically up by 1.33%
In September, WRB is historically up by 1.46%
In October, WRB is historically up by 1.84%
In November, WRB is historically up by 4.45%
In December, WRB is historically up by 7.44%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of WRB
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points2108
Start Date of Data3/17/1980
End Date of Data8/3/2020
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close0.16
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close79.09
Average Value of Adjusted Close12.29
Median Value of Adjusted Close3.91
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close15.90
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 129.34%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of WRB tends towards a value in the vicinity of 12.29 (the mean) and 3.91 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of WRB goes above 28.20 (mean + 1 standard deviation) , then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of WRB goes above 44.10 (mean + 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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