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Seasonal Analysis of WPX (WPX Energy)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 12/12/2011 to 8/3/2020 for WPX (WPX Energy), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy WPX is December
Historically, the best month to sell WPX is June

In January, WPX is historically up by 4.96%
In February, WPX is historically up by 2.81%
In March, WPX is historically up by 0.29%
In April, WPX is historically down by -1.52%
In May, WPX is historically up by 9.00%
In June, WPX is historically up by 9.47%
In July, WPX is historically down by -0.63%
In August, WPX is historically down by -3.35%
In September, WPX is historically down by -1.93%
In October, WPX is historically up by 4.23%
In November, WPX is historically down by -9.77%
In December, WPX is historically down by -13.54%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of WPX
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points452
Start Date of Data12/12/2011
End Date of Data8/3/2020
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close2.82
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close26.62
Average Value of Adjusted Close13.75
Median Value of Adjusted Close13.35
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close4.65
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 33.81%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of WPX tends towards a value in the vicinity of 13.75 (the mean) and 13.35 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of WPX goes above 18.40 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 9.10 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of WPX goes above 23.05 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 4.45 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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