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Seasonal Analysis of WMT (Walmart Inc)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 3/17/1980 to 8/3/2020 for WMT (Walmart Inc), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy WMT is January
Historically, the best month to sell WMT is November

In January, WMT is historically down by -9.94%
In February, WMT is historically down by -6.79%
In March, WMT is historically down by -4.79%
In April, WMT is historically down by -1.79%
In May, WMT is historically down by -0.56%
In June, WMT is historically up by 0.33%
In July, WMT is historically up by 2.93%
In August, WMT is historically up by 2.87%
In September, WMT is historically up by 1.94%
In October, WMT is historically up by 5.27%
In November, WMT is historically up by 5.52%
In December, WMT is historically up by 5.02%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of WMT
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points2108
Start Date of Data3/17/1980
End Date of Data8/3/2020
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close0.07
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close131.74
Average Value of Adjusted Close30.66
Median Value of Adjusted Close32.55
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close29.36
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 95.75%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of WMT tends towards a value in the vicinity of 30.66 (the mean) and 32.55 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of WMT goes above 60.02 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 1.30 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of WMT goes above 89.38 (mean + 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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