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Seasonal Analysis of SPXCY (Singapore Exchange Limited)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 5/22/2012 to 9/14/2020 for SPXCY (Singapore Exchange Limited), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy SPXCY is January
Historically, the best month to sell SPXCY is November

In January, SPXCY is historically down by -4.26%
In February, SPXCY is historically down by -0.57%
In March, SPXCY is historically up by 0.07%
In April, SPXCY is historically up by 2.54%
In May, SPXCY is historically up by 0.46%
In June, SPXCY is historically down by -3.46%
In July, SPXCY is historically down by -0.57%
In August, SPXCY is historically up by 0.09%
In September, SPXCY is historically up by 0.57%
In October, SPXCY is historically up by 2.01%
In November, SPXCY is historically up by 2.98%
In December, SPXCY is historically up by 0.14%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of SPXCY
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points328
Start Date of Data5/22/2012
End Date of Data9/14/2020
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close52.90
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close104.27
Average Value of Adjusted Close76.08
Median Value of Adjusted Close73.57
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close9.93
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 13.04%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of SPXCY tends towards a value in the vicinity of 76.08 (the mean) and 73.57 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of SPXCY goes above 86.00 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 66.15 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of SPXCY goes above 95.93 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 56.22 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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