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Seasonal Analysis of RIIEX (INTERNATIONAL GROWTH AND INCOME FUND CLASS R-2E)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 8/29/2014 to 11/11/2019 for RIIEX (INTERNATIONAL GROWTH AND INCOME FUND CLASS R-2E), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy RIIEX is January
Historically, the best month to sell RIIEX is October

In January, RIIEX is historically down by -6.02%
In February, RIIEX is historically down by -3.95%
In March, RIIEX is historically down by -0.96%
In April, RIIEX is historically up by 1.38%
In May, RIIEX is historically up by 0.74%
In June, RIIEX is historically up by 1.49%
In July, RIIEX is historically up by 3.04%
In August, RIIEX is historically up by 3.03%
In September, RIIEX is historically up by 1.55%
In October, RIIEX is historically up by 3.36%
In November, RIIEX is historically up by 0.35%
In December, RIIEX is historically down by -4.00%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of RIIEX
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points273
Start Date of Data8/29/2014
End Date of Data11/11/2019
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close23.87
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close36.16
Average Value of Adjusted Close30.09
Median Value of Adjusted Close30.14
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close2.71
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 9.00%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of RIIEX tends towards a value in the vicinity of 30.09 (the mean) and 30.14 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of RIIEX goes above 32.80 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 27.38 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of RIIEX goes above 35.52 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 24.67 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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