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Seasonal Analysis of PRMTX (T. ROWE PRICE MEDIA & TELECOMMUNICATIONS FUND)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 8/8/1997 to 5/13/2019 for PRMTX (T. ROWE PRICE MEDIA & TELECOMMUNICATIONS FUND), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy PRMTX is January
Historically, the best month to sell PRMTX is December

In January, PRMTX is historically down by -8.80%
In February, PRMTX is historically down by -5.85%
In March, PRMTX is historically down by -4.21%
In April, PRMTX is historically down by -1.97%
In May, PRMTX is historically down by -1.27%
In June, PRMTX is historically down by -0.69%
In July, PRMTX is historically up by 2.95%
In August, PRMTX is historically up by 1.74%
In September, PRMTX is historically up by 3.63%
In October, PRMTX is historically up by 3.67%
In November, PRMTX is historically up by 4.93%
In December, PRMTX is historically up by 5.88%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of PRMTX
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points1137
Start Date of Data8/8/1997
End Date of Data5/13/2019
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close5.07
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close118.44
Average Value of Adjusted Close34.11
Median Value of Adjusted Close23.79
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close28.51
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 83.58%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of PRMTX tends towards a value in the vicinity of 34.11 (the mean) and 23.79 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of PRMTX goes above 62.62 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 5.60 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of PRMTX goes above 91.14 (mean + 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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