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Seasonal Analysis of PLND (VanEck Vectors Poland ETF)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 11/25/2009 to 4/8/2019 for PLND (VanEck Vectors Poland ETF), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy PLND is June
Historically, the best month to sell PLND is April

In January, PLND is historically up by 0.95%
In February, PLND is historically up by 5.25%
In March, PLND is historically up by 4.92%
In April, PLND is historically up by 5.53%
In May, PLND is historically down by -1.59%
In June, PLND is historically down by -5.75%
In July, PLND is historically down by -3.99%
In August, PLND is historically down by -1.12%
In September, PLND is historically up by 0.16%
In October, PLND is historically up by 0.33%
In November, PLND is historically down by -2.84%
In December, PLND is historically down by -1.85%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of PLND
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points490
Start Date of Data11/25/2009
End Date of Data4/8/2019
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close10.88
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close384.00
Average Value of Adjusted Close17.58
Median Value of Adjusted Close16.91
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close16.80
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 95.56%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of PLND tends towards a value in the vicinity of 17.58 (the mean) and 16.91 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of PLND goes above 34.37 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 0.78 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of PLND goes above 51.17 (mean + 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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