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Seasonal Analysis of PGRQX (PRUDENTIAL GLOBAL REAL ESTATE FUND CLASS Q)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 8/26/2013 to 5/20/2019 for PGRQX (PRUDENTIAL GLOBAL REAL ESTATE FUND CLASS Q), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy PGRQX is January
Historically, the best month to sell PGRQX is May

In January, PGRQX is historically down by -5.37%
In February, PGRQX is historically down by -3.94%
In March, PGRQX is historically up by 0.42%
In April, PGRQX is historically up by 1.70%
In May, PGRQX is historically up by 2.17%
In June, PGRQX is historically up by 0.13%
In July, PGRQX is historically up by 1.19%
In August, PGRQX is historically up by 1.96%
In September, PGRQX is historically up by 1.57%
In October, PGRQX is historically up by 1.03%
In November, PGRQX is historically down by -0.10%
In December, PGRQX is historically down by -0.77%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of PGRQX
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points300
Start Date of Data8/26/2013
End Date of Data5/20/2019
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close16.45
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close25.63
Average Value of Adjusted Close20.97
Median Value of Adjusted Close21.01
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close1.93
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 9.21%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of PGRQX tends towards a value in the vicinity of 20.97 (the mean) and 21.01 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of PGRQX goes above 22.90 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 19.04 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of PGRQX goes above 24.84 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 17.11 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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