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Seasonal Analysis of PGJAX (PRUDENTIAL JENNISON GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE FUND CLASS A)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 9/30/2013 to 8/19/2019 for PGJAX (PRUDENTIAL JENNISON GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE FUND CLASS A), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy PGJAX is January
Historically, the best month to sell PGJAX is July

In January, PGJAX is historically down by -8.22%
In February, PGJAX is historically down by -4.78%
In March, PGJAX is historically down by -1.95%
In April, PGJAX is historically down by -0.02%
In May, PGJAX is historically down by -0.05%
In June, PGJAX is historically up by 4.31%
In July, PGJAX is historically up by 4.40%
In August, PGJAX is historically up by 3.91%
In September, PGJAX is historically up by 2.99%
In October, PGJAX is historically up by 1.15%
In November, PGJAX is historically down by -1.26%
In December, PGJAX is historically down by -0.48%

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See Also: Fourier Analysis of PGJAX
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points308
Start Date of Data9/30/2013
End Date of Data8/19/2019
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close9.32
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close14.61
Average Value of Adjusted Close11.86
Median Value of Adjusted Close11.83
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close1.14
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 9.64%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of PGJAX tends towards a value in the vicinity of 11.86 (the mean) and 11.83 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of PGJAX goes above 13.00 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 10.71 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of PGJAX goes above 14.15 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 9.57 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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