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Seasonal Analysis of NUIRX (NUVEEN SANTA BARBARA INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND GROWTH FUND CLASS R3)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 2/1/2013 to 5/20/2019 for NUIRX (NUVEEN SANTA BARBARA INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND GROWTH FUND CLASS R3), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy NUIRX is January
Historically, the best month to sell NUIRX is June

In January, NUIRX is historically down by -5.25%
In February, NUIRX is historically down by -3.07%
In March, NUIRX is historically down by -1.06%
In April, NUIRX is historically up by 0.71%
In May, NUIRX is historically up by 2.09%
In June, NUIRX is historically up by 2.14%
In July, NUIRX is historically up by 2.12%
In August, NUIRX is historically up by 1.42%
In September, NUIRX is historically up by 1.75%
In October, NUIRX is historically up by 0.67%
In November, NUIRX is historically down by -1.87%
In December, NUIRX is historically up by 0.36%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of NUIRX
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points330
Start Date of Data2/1/2013
End Date of Data5/20/2019
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close20.44
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close28.29
Average Value of Adjusted Close24.24
Median Value of Adjusted Close24.04
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close1.56
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 6.45%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of NUIRX tends towards a value in the vicinity of 24.24 (the mean) and 24.04 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of NUIRX goes above 25.80 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 22.67 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of NUIRX goes above 27.36 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 21.11 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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