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Seasonal Analysis of NLSAX (NEUBERGER BERMAN LONG SHORT FUND CLASS A)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 12/29/2011 to 9/16/2019 for NLSAX (NEUBERGER BERMAN LONG SHORT FUND CLASS A), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy NLSAX is January
Historically, the best month to sell NLSAX is December

In January, NLSAX is historically down by -4.95%
In February, NLSAX is historically down by -3.33%
In March, NLSAX is historically down by -1.40%
In April, NLSAX is historically up by 0.23%
In May, NLSAX is historically up by 0.44%
In June, NLSAX is historically up by 0.43%
In July, NLSAX is historically up by 1.04%
In August, NLSAX is historically up by 1.15%
In September, NLSAX is historically up by 1.58%
In October, NLSAX is historically up by 1.63%
In November, NLSAX is historically up by 0.95%
In December, NLSAX is historically up by 2.23%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of NLSAX
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points404
Start Date of Data12/29/2011
End Date of Data9/16/2019
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close9.49
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close14.69
Average Value of Adjusted Close12.34
Median Value of Adjusted Close12.27
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close1.23
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 10.00%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of NLSAX tends towards a value in the vicinity of 12.34 (the mean) and 12.27 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of NLSAX goes above 13.58 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 11.11 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of NLSAX goes above 14.81 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 9.87 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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