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Seasonal Analysis of MSLP (MusclePharm Corporation)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 4/22/2010 to 5/21/2018 for MSLP (MusclePharm Corporation), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy MSLP is December
Historically, the best month to sell MSLP is June

In January, MSLP is historically up by 15.65%
In February, MSLP is historically down by -3.63%
In March, MSLP is historically up by 24.19%
In April, MSLP is historically up by 15.36%
In May, MSLP is historically up by 21.96%
In June, MSLP is historically up by 26.07%
In July, MSLP is historically up by 15.99%
In August, MSLP is historically up by 7.81%
In September, MSLP is historically down by -13.85%
In October, MSLP is historically down by -24.92%
In November, MSLP is historically down by -37.24%
In December, MSLP is historically down by -47.39%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of MSLP
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points423
Start Date of Data4/22/2010
End Date of Data5/21/2018
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close0.49
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close1006.01
Average Value of Adjusted Close60.99
Median Value of Adjusted Close8.00
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close190.23
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 311.92%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of MSLP tends towards a value in the vicinity of 60.99 (the mean) and 8.00 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of MSLP goes above 251.21 (mean + 1 standard deviation) , then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of MSLP goes above 441.44 (mean + 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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