Back to list of Stocks    See Also: Fourier Analysis of MISMXGenetic Algorithms Stock Portfolio Generator, and Best Months to Buy/Sell Stocks

Seasonal Analysis of MISMX (MATTHEWS ASIA SMALL COMPANIES FUND INSTITUTIONAL CLASS SHARES)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 5/1/2013 to 10/14/2019 for MISMX (MATTHEWS ASIA SMALL COMPANIES FUND INSTITUTIONAL CLASS SHARES), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy MISMX is January
Historically, the best month to sell MISMX is September

In January, MISMX is historically down by -6.72%
In February, MISMX is historically down by -3.05%
In March, MISMX is historically down by -1.47%
In April, MISMX is historically up by 2.01%
In May, MISMX is historically down by -0.69%
In June, MISMX is historically up by 0.42%
In July, MISMX is historically up by 2.64%
In August, MISMX is historically up by 0.79%
In September, MISMX is historically up by 2.68%
In October, MISMX is historically up by 2.26%
In November, MISMX is historically up by 1.42%
In December, MISMX is historically down by -0.30%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of MISMX
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points332
Start Date of Data5/1/2013
End Date of Data10/14/2019
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close12.94
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close19.91
Average Value of Adjusted Close15.96
Median Value of Adjusted Close15.96
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close1.55
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 9.71%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of MISMX tends towards a value in the vicinity of 15.96 (the mean) and 15.96 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of MISMX goes above 17.52 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 14.41 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of MISMX goes above 19.07 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 12.86 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



Back to list of Stocks