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Seasonal Analysis of MET-PA (MetLife)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 1/2/2015 to 2/24/2020 for MET-PA (MetLife), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy MET-PA is January
Historically, the best month to sell MET-PA is August

In January, MET-PA is historically down by -4.65%
In February, MET-PA is historically down by -3.10%
In March, MET-PA is historically down by -1.39%
In April, MET-PA is historically down by -1.21%
In May, MET-PA is historically up by 0.26%
In June, MET-PA is historically up by 0.68%
In July, MET-PA is historically up by 1.81%
In August, MET-PA is historically up by 2.69%
In September, MET-PA is historically up by 1.99%
In October, MET-PA is historically up by 1.76%
In November, MET-PA is historically up by 0.93%
In December, MET-PA is historically up by 0.24%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of MET-PA
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points270
Start Date of Data1/2/2015
End Date of Data2/24/2020
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close18.95
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close25.21
Average Value of Adjusted Close22.18
Median Value of Adjusted Close22.22
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close1.43
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 6.42%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of MET-PA tends towards a value in the vicinity of 22.18 (the mean) and 22.22 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of MET-PA goes above 23.61 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 20.75 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of MET-PA goes above 25.03 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 19.33 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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