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Seasonal Analysis of MET (MetLife)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 4/5/2000 to 5/21/2018 for MET (MetLife), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy MET is February
Historically, the best month to sell MET is December

In January, MET is historically down by -4.71%
In February, MET is historically down by -5.78%
In March, MET is historically down by -4.68%
In April, MET is historically down by -3.15%
In May, MET is historically down by -3.32%
In June, MET is historically down by -1.53%
In July, MET is historically down by -0.60%
In August, MET is historically down by -0.60%
In September, MET is historically up by 3.10%
In October, MET is historically up by 3.98%
In November, MET is historically up by 7.33%
In December, MET is historically up by 9.96%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of MET
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points947
Start Date of Data4/5/2000
End Date of Data5/21/2018
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close7.68
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close54.31
Average Value of Adjusted Close28.04
Median Value of Adjusted Close27.03
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close9.64
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 34.38%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of MET tends towards a value in the vicinity of 28.04 (the mean) and 27.03 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of MET goes above 37.68 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 18.39 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of MET goes above 47.32 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 8.75 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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