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Seasonal Analysis of LULU (Lululemon Athletica inc.)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 7/27/2007 to 11/6/2017 for LULU (Lululemon Athletica inc.), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy LULU is January
Historically, the best month to sell LULU is April

In January, LULU is historically down by -5.93%
In February, LULU is historically down by -5.06%
In March, LULU is historically down by -2.33%
In April, LULU is historically up by 6.99%
In May, LULU is historically up by 0.96%
In June, LULU is historically up by 6.27%
In July, LULU is historically up by 1.09%
In August, LULU is historically down by -2.42%
In September, LULU is historically down by -1.63%
In October, LULU is historically down by -1.53%
In November, LULU is historically down by -1.23%
In December, LULU is historically up by 4.82%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of LULU
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points538
Start Date of Data7/27/2007
End Date of Data11/6/2017
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close2.25
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close81.43
Average Value of Adjusted Close44.44
Median Value of Adjusted Close51.17
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close23.34
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 52.52%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of LULU tends towards a value in the vicinity of 44.44 (the mean) and 51.17 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of LULU goes above 67.78 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 21.10 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of LULU goes above 91.13 (mean + 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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