Back to list of Stocks    See Also: Fourier Analysis of LCDFXGenetic Algorithms Stock Portfolio Generator, and Best Months to Buy/Sell Stocks

Seasonal Analysis of LCDFX (LORD ABBETT EMERGING MARKETS CORPORATE DEBT FUND CLASS F)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 12/16/2013 to 2/24/2020 for LCDFX (LORD ABBETT EMERGING MARKETS CORPORATE DEBT FUND CLASS F), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy LCDFX is January
Historically, the best month to sell LCDFX is October

In January, LCDFX is historically down by -4.31%
In February, LCDFX is historically down by -2.90%
In March, LCDFX is historically down by -2.21%
In April, LCDFX is historically down by -0.46%
In May, LCDFX is historically down by -0.54%
In June, LCDFX is historically up by 0.00%
In July, LCDFX is historically up by 1.43%
In August, LCDFX is historically up by 1.56%
In September, LCDFX is historically up by 2.09%
In October, LCDFX is historically up by 2.47%
In November, LCDFX is historically up by 2.27%
In December, LCDFX is historically up by 0.61%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of LCDFX
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points324
Start Date of Data12/16/2013
End Date of Data2/24/2020
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close11.00
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close15.81
Average Value of Adjusted Close13.16
Median Value of Adjusted Close13.30
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close1.22
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 9.24%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of LCDFX tends towards a value in the vicinity of 13.16 (the mean) and 13.30 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of LCDFX goes above 14.38 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 11.95 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of LCDFX goes above 15.60 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 10.73 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



Back to list of Stocks