Back to list of Stocks    See Also: Fourier Analysis of JNSYXGenetic Algorithms Stock Portfolio Generator, and Best Months to Buy/Sell Stocks

Seasonal Analysis of JNSYX (JPMORGAN SMARTRETIREMENT 2025 FUND CLASS R6)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 11/4/2014 to 1/13/2020 for JNSYX (JPMORGAN SMARTRETIREMENT 2025 FUND CLASS R6), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy JNSYX is February
Historically, the best month to sell JNSYX is November

In January, JNSYX is historically down by -3.54%
In February, JNSYX is historically down by -3.81%
In March, JNSYX is historically down by -1.75%
In April, JNSYX is historically down by -0.39%
In May, JNSYX is historically down by -0.26%
In June, JNSYX is historically up by 0.17%
In July, JNSYX is historically up by 0.96%
In August, JNSYX is historically up by 0.89%
In September, JNSYX is historically up by 2.38%
In October, JNSYX is historically up by 2.75%
In November, JNSYX is historically up by 3.08%
In December, JNSYX is historically down by -0.48%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of JNSYX
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points272
Start Date of Data11/4/2014
End Date of Data1/13/2020
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close13.75
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close20.05
Average Value of Adjusted Close16.88
Median Value of Adjusted Close17.01
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close1.66
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 9.83%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of JNSYX tends towards a value in the vicinity of 16.88 (the mean) and 17.01 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of JNSYX goes above 18.54 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 15.22 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of JNSYX goes above 20.20 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 13.56 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



Back to list of Stocks