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Seasonal Analysis of JAZZ (Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc - Ordinary Shares)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 6/1/2007 to 2/20/2018 for JAZZ (Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc - Ordinary Shares), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy JAZZ is January
Historically, the best month to sell JAZZ is December

In January, JAZZ is historically down by -7.99%
In February, JAZZ is historically down by -6.99%
In March, JAZZ is historically down by -3.43%
In April, JAZZ is historically up by 5.24%
In May, JAZZ is historically down by -7.87%
In June, JAZZ is historically up by 3.25%
In July, JAZZ is historically up by 5.94%
In August, JAZZ is historically up by 1.04%
In September, JAZZ is historically up by 1.35%
In October, JAZZ is historically up by 0.52%
In November, JAZZ is historically up by 2.51%
In December, JAZZ is historically up by 6.42%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of JAZZ
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points561
Start Date of Data6/1/2007
End Date of Data2/20/2018
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close0.60
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close192.24
Average Value of Adjusted Close74.64
Median Value of Adjusted Close52.75
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close62.73
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 84.04%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of JAZZ tends towards a value in the vicinity of 74.64 (the mean) and 52.75 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of JAZZ goes above 137.38 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 11.91 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of JAZZ goes above 200.11 (mean + 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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