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Seasonal Analysis of IUCEX (JPMORGAN INTERNATIONAL UNCONSTRAINED EQUITY FUND CLASS C)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 6/24/2013 to 8/19/2019 for IUCEX (JPMORGAN INTERNATIONAL UNCONSTRAINED EQUITY FUND CLASS C), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy IUCEX is January
Historically, the best month to sell IUCEX is July

In January, IUCEX is historically down by -5.37%
In February, IUCEX is historically down by -1.02%
In March, IUCEX is historically down by -1.17%
In April, IUCEX is historically up by 1.25%
In May, IUCEX is historically up by 0.22%
In June, IUCEX is historically up by 1.74%
In July, IUCEX is historically up by 2.13%
In August, IUCEX is historically down by -0.40%
In September, IUCEX is historically down by -1.31%
In October, IUCEX is historically up by 2.07%
In November, IUCEX is historically down by -0.16%
In December, IUCEX is historically up by 2.01%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of IUCEX
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points322
Start Date of Data6/24/2013
End Date of Data8/19/2019
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close14.32
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close22.81
Average Value of Adjusted Close17.81
Median Value of Adjusted Close17.26
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close1.75
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 9.80%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of IUCEX tends towards a value in the vicinity of 17.81 (the mean) and 17.26 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of IUCEX goes above 19.56 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 16.06 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of IUCEX goes above 21.31 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 14.32 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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