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Seasonal Analysis of IINCX (IVY INTERNATIONAL CORE EQUITY FUND CLASS N)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 7/31/2014 to 2/24/2020 for IINCX (IVY INTERNATIONAL CORE EQUITY FUND CLASS N), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy IINCX is January
Historically, the best month to sell IINCX is December

In January, IINCX is historically down by -4.58%
In February, IINCX is historically down by -3.85%
In March, IINCX is historically down by -1.78%
In April, IINCX is historically up by 0.68%
In May, IINCX is historically up by 0.22%
In June, IINCX is historically up by 0.30%
In July, IINCX is historically up by 1.85%
In August, IINCX is historically up by 0.20%
In September, IINCX is historically up by 1.91%
In October, IINCX is historically down by -0.41%
In November, IINCX is historically up by 1.52%
In December, IINCX is historically up by 3.93%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of IINCX
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points292
Start Date of Data7/31/2014
End Date of Data2/24/2020
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close12.37
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close19.49
Average Value of Adjusted Close15.84
Median Value of Adjusted Close15.80
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close1.51
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 9.53%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of IINCX tends towards a value in the vicinity of 15.84 (the mean) and 15.80 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of IINCX goes above 17.35 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 14.33 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of IINCX goes above 18.85 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 12.82 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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