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Seasonal Analysis of HSCSX (SMALL-COMPANY STOCK FUND SMALL-COMPANY STOCK FUND)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 6/28/1999 to 3/18/2019 for HSCSX (SMALL-COMPANY STOCK FUND SMALL-COMPANY STOCK FUND), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy HSCSX is January
Historically, the best month to sell HSCSX is December

In January, HSCSX is historically down by -5.04%
In February, HSCSX is historically down by -3.31%
In March, HSCSX is historically down by -2.26%
In April, HSCSX is historically down by -1.39%
In May, HSCSX is historically up by 0.26%
In June, HSCSX is historically up by 1.39%
In July, HSCSX is historically up by 2.27%
In August, HSCSX is historically up by 1.25%
In September, HSCSX is historically up by 1.09%
In October, HSCSX is historically down by -1.14%
In November, HSCSX is historically up by 1.74%
In December, HSCSX is historically up by 5.14%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of HSCSX
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points1030
Start Date of Data6/28/1999
End Date of Data3/18/2019
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close3.93
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close33.48
Average Value of Adjusted Close14.51
Median Value of Adjusted Close11.19
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close8.56
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 59.00%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of HSCSX tends towards a value in the vicinity of 14.51 (the mean) and 11.19 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of HSCSX goes above 23.07 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 5.95 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of HSCSX goes above 31.63 (mean + 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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