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Seasonal Analysis of HD (The Home Depot)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 1/3/2000 to 2/20/2018 for HD (The Home Depot), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy HD is February
Historically, the best month to sell HD is December

In January, HD is historically down by -6.31%
In February, HD is historically down by -7.18%
In March, HD is historically down by -3.36%
In April, HD is historically up by 1.36%
In May, HD is historically up by 0.67%
In June, HD is historically down by -0.16%
In July, HD is historically up by 0.74%
In August, HD is historically up by 1.63%
In September, HD is historically down by -0.25%
In October, HD is historically down by -2.15%
In November, HD is historically up by 3.83%
In December, HD is historically up by 11.18%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of HD
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points947
Start Date of Data1/3/2000
End Date of Data2/20/2018
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close14.38
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close207.23
Average Value of Adjusted Close51.94
Median Value of Adjusted Close30.90
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close41.61
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 80.11%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of HD tends towards a value in the vicinity of 51.94 (the mean) and 30.90 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of HD goes above 93.55 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 10.33 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of HD goes above 135.17 (mean + 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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