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Seasonal Analysis of HCITX (THE INSTITUTIONAL INTERNATIONAL EQUITY PORTFOLIO HC ADVISORS SHARES)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 7/6/2010 to 8/19/2019 for HCITX (THE INSTITUTIONAL INTERNATIONAL EQUITY PORTFOLIO HC ADVISORS SHARES), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy HCITX is January
Historically, the best month to sell HCITX is December

In January, HCITX is historically down by -5.57%
In February, HCITX is historically up by 0.74%
In March, HCITX is historically up by 2.40%
In April, HCITX is historically up by 0.84%
In May, HCITX is historically down by -0.43%
In June, HCITX is historically down by -1.43%
In July, HCITX is historically down by -0.79%
In August, HCITX is historically down by -1.11%
In September, HCITX is historically up by 2.04%
In October, HCITX is historically up by 1.17%
In November, HCITX is historically down by -0.28%
In December, HCITX is historically up by 2.43%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of HCITX
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points477
Start Date of Data7/6/2010
End Date of Data8/19/2019
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close7.90
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close12.33
Average Value of Adjusted Close10.11
Median Value of Adjusted Close10.08
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close0.99
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 9.80%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of HCITX tends towards a value in the vicinity of 10.11 (the mean) and 10.08 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of HCITX goes above 11.10 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 9.12 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of HCITX goes above 12.09 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 8.13 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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