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Seasonal Analysis of GIZAX (INVESCO GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE FUND CLASS A)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 5/12/2014 to 5/20/2019 for GIZAX (INVESCO GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE FUND CLASS A), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy GIZAX is January
Historically, the best month to sell GIZAX is July

In January, GIZAX is historically down by -6.58%
In February, GIZAX is historically down by -3.62%
In March, GIZAX is historically down by -0.17%
In April, GIZAX is historically up by 2.54%
In May, GIZAX is historically up by 2.69%
In June, GIZAX is historically up by 1.00%
In July, GIZAX is historically up by 3.61%
In August, GIZAX is historically up by 2.71%
In September, GIZAX is historically up by 1.18%
In October, GIZAX is historically down by -0.39%
In November, GIZAX is historically down by -0.60%
In December, GIZAX is historically down by -2.37%

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See Also: Fourier Analysis of GIZAX
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points263
Start Date of Data5/12/2014
End Date of Data5/20/2019
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close7.27
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close11.13
Average Value of Adjusted Close9.41
Median Value of Adjusted Close9.41
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close0.79
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 8.35%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of GIZAX tends towards a value in the vicinity of 9.41 (the mean) and 9.41 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of GIZAX goes above 10.20 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 8.63 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of GIZAX goes above 10.99 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 7.84 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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