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Seasonal Analysis of FFFDX (FIDELITY FREEDOM 2020 FUND FIDELITY FREEDOM 2020 FUND)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 3/21/1997 to 5/13/2019 for FFFDX (FIDELITY FREEDOM 2020 FUND FIDELITY FREEDOM 2020 FUND), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy FFFDX is January
Historically, the best month to sell FFFDX is December

In January, FFFDX is historically down by -4.23%
In February, FFFDX is historically down by -2.58%
In March, FFFDX is historically down by -1.75%
In April, FFFDX is historically down by -0.84%
In May, FFFDX is historically down by -1.48%
In June, FFFDX is historically down by -0.05%
In July, FFFDX is historically up by 0.40%
In August, FFFDX is historically up by 0.44%
In September, FFFDX is historically up by 0.88%
In October, FFFDX is historically up by 0.99%
In November, FFFDX is historically up by 3.13%
In December, FFFDX is historically up by 5.08%

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See Also: Fourier Analysis of FFFDX
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points1157
Start Date of Data3/21/1997
End Date of Data5/13/2019
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close3.73
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close16.15
Average Value of Adjusted Close9.04
Median Value of Adjusted Close8.40
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close3.16
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 35.01%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of FFFDX tends towards a value in the vicinity of 9.04 (the mean) and 8.40 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of FFFDX goes above 12.20 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 5.87 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of FFFDX goes above 15.36 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 2.71 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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