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Seasonal Analysis of EWC (ISHARES MSCI CANADA ETF ISHARES MSCI CANADA ETF)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 1/3/2000 to 11/6/2017 for EWC (ISHARES MSCI CANADA ETF ISHARES MSCI CANADA ETF), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy EWC is January
Historically, the best month to sell EWC is June

In January, EWC is historically down by -5.17%
In February, EWC is historically down by -3.91%
In March, EWC is historically down by -1.64%
In April, EWC is historically down by -2.18%
In May, EWC is historically down by -1.02%
In June, EWC is historically up by 3.50%
In July, EWC is historically up by 2.68%
In August, EWC is historically down by -1.11%
In September, EWC is historically up by 2.57%
In October, EWC is historically up by 2.58%
In November, EWC is historically up by 2.01%
In December, EWC is historically up by 1.69%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of EWC
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points932
Start Date of Data1/3/2000
End Date of Data11/6/2017
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close6.50
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close30.92
Average Value of Adjusted Close19.53
Median Value of Adjusted Close22.19
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close7.23
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 37.02%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of EWC tends towards a value in the vicinity of 19.53 (the mean) and 22.19 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of EWC goes above 26.76 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 12.30 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of EWC goes above 33.99 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 5.07 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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