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Seasonal Analysis of ECON (Columbia Emerging Markets Consumer ETF)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 9/14/2010 to 5/20/2019 for ECON (Columbia Emerging Markets Consumer ETF), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy ECON is January
Historically, the best month to sell ECON is July

In January, ECON is historically down by -4.99%
In February, ECON is historically down by -2.34%
In March, ECON is historically down by -0.36%
In April, ECON is historically up by 1.63%
In May, ECON is historically up by 1.25%
In June, ECON is historically up by 3.04%
In July, ECON is historically up by 3.96%
In August, ECON is historically up by 0.12%
In September, ECON is historically down by -0.11%
In October, ECON is historically down by -0.80%
In November, ECON is historically down by -0.08%
In December, ECON is historically down by -1.33%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of ECON
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points454
Start Date of Data9/14/2010
End Date of Data5/20/2019
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close18.38
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close29.56
Average Value of Adjusted Close23.72
Median Value of Adjusted Close23.75
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close2.28
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 9.60%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of ECON tends towards a value in the vicinity of 23.72 (the mean) and 23.75 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of ECON goes above 26.00 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 21.44 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of ECON goes above 28.28 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 19.16 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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