Back to list of Stocks    See Also: Fourier Analysis of DGASGenetic Algorithms Stock Portfolio Generator, and Best Months to Buy/Sell Stocks

Seasonal Analysis of DGAS (Delta Natural Gas Company Inc)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 1/3/2000 to 9/18/2017 for DGAS (Delta Natural Gas Company Inc), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy DGAS is January
Historically, the best month to sell DGAS is December

In January, DGAS is historically down by -4.47%
In February, DGAS is historically down by -4.22%
In March, DGAS is historically down by -1.94%
In April, DGAS is historically down by -2.17%
In May, DGAS is historically down by -2.13%
In June, DGAS is historically up by 1.42%
In July, DGAS is historically up by 0.62%
In August, DGAS is historically up by 0.65%
In September, DGAS is historically up by 3.23%
In October, DGAS is historically up by 0.86%
In November, DGAS is historically up by 2.35%
In December, DGAS is historically up by 5.79%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of DGAS
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points925
Start Date of Data1/3/2000
End Date of Data9/18/2017
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close3.12
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close30.69
Average Value of Adjusted Close11.79
Median Value of Adjusted Close8.61
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close6.69
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 56.77%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of DGAS tends towards a value in the vicinity of 11.79 (the mean) and 8.61 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of DGAS goes above 18.49 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 5.10 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of DGAS goes above 25.18 (mean + 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



Back to list of Stocks