Back to list of Stocks    See Also: Fourier Analysis of CHSPGenetic Algorithms Stock Portfolio Generator, and Best Months to Buy/Sell Stocks

Seasonal Analysis of CHSP (Chesapeake Lodging Trust)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 1/26/2010 to 11/6/2017 for CHSP (Chesapeake Lodging Trust), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy CHSP is June
Historically, the best month to sell CHSP is December

In January, CHSP is historically down by -3.38%
In February, CHSP is historically down by -1.99%
In March, CHSP is historically up by 0.63%
In April, CHSP is historically down by -1.42%
In May, CHSP is historically down by -2.38%
In June, CHSP is historically down by -3.57%
In July, CHSP is historically up by 0.33%
In August, CHSP is historically down by -2.23%
In September, CHSP is historically up by 0.72%
In October, CHSP is historically up by 3.12%
In November, CHSP is historically up by 3.72%
In December, CHSP is historically up by 6.46%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of CHSP
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points407
Start Date of Data1/26/2010
End Date of Data11/6/2017
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close8.39
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close32.93
Average Value of Adjusted Close19.23
Median Value of Adjusted Close19.76
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close5.95
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 30.94%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of CHSP tends towards a value in the vicinity of 19.23 (the mean) and 19.76 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of CHSP goes above 25.18 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 13.28 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of CHSP goes above 31.13 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 7.33 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



Back to list of Stocks