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Seasonal Analysis of BPIAX (BMO PYRFORD INTERNATIONAL STOCK FUND CLASS A)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 6/2/2014 to 8/12/2019 for BPIAX (BMO PYRFORD INTERNATIONAL STOCK FUND CLASS A), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy BPIAX is January
Historically, the best month to sell BPIAX is April

In January, BPIAX is historically down by -4.97%
In February, BPIAX is historically down by -2.65%
In March, BPIAX is historically up by 1.03%
In April, BPIAX is historically up by 3.06%
In May, BPIAX is historically up by 2.27%
In June, BPIAX is historically up by 1.95%
In July, BPIAX is historically up by 2.49%
In August, BPIAX is historically up by 1.61%
In September, BPIAX is historically up by 2.33%
In October, BPIAX is historically down by -1.62%
In November, BPIAX is historically down by -2.03%
In December, BPIAX is historically down by -3.46%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of BPIAX
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points272
Start Date of Data6/2/2014
End Date of Data8/12/2019
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close10.03
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close14.00
Average Value of Adjusted Close12.11
Median Value of Adjusted Close12.04
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close0.84
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 6.90%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of BPIAX tends towards a value in the vicinity of 12.11 (the mean) and 12.04 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of BPIAX goes above 12.95 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 11.27 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of BPIAX goes above 13.78 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 10.44 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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