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Seasonal Analysis of BIOS (BioScrip Inc)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 1/3/2000 to 10/16/2017 for BIOS (BioScrip Inc), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy BIOS is November
Historically, the best month to sell BIOS is June

In January, BIOS is historically down by -3.85%
In February, BIOS is historically down by -0.49%
In March, BIOS is historically down by -2.46%
In April, BIOS is historically up by 4.17%
In May, BIOS is historically up by 13.08%
In June, BIOS is historically up by 13.75%
In July, BIOS is historically up by 6.27%
In August, BIOS is historically up by 9.78%
In September, BIOS is historically down by -0.79%
In October, BIOS is historically down by -6.48%
In November, BIOS is historically down by -17.15%
In December, BIOS is historically down by -15.83%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of BIOS
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points929
Start Date of Data1/3/2000
End Date of Data10/16/2017
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close0.81
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close21.00
Average Value of Adjusted Close6.08
Median Value of Adjusted Close6.06
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close3.40
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 55.98%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of BIOS tends towards a value in the vicinity of 6.08 (the mean) and 6.06 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of BIOS goes above 9.48 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 2.67 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of BIOS goes above 12.88 (mean + 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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