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Seasonal Analysis of AIV (Apartment Investment and Management Company)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 1/3/2000 to 11/6/2017 for AIV (Apartment Investment and Management Company), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy AIV is January
Historically, the best month to sell AIV is September

In January, AIV is historically down by -6.09%
In February, AIV is historically down by -4.64%
In March, AIV is historically down by -3.97%
In April, AIV is historically down by -3.44%
In May, AIV is historically up by 0.21%
In June, AIV is historically up by 2.40%
In July, AIV is historically up by 4.68%
In August, AIV is historically up by 4.31%
In September, AIV is historically up by 5.93%
In October, AIV is historically up by 0.66%
In November, AIV is historically down by -1.66%
In December, AIV is historically up by 1.61%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of AIV
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points932
Start Date of Data1/3/2000
End Date of Data11/6/2017
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close3.81
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close46.45
Average Value of Adjusted Close21.34
Median Value of Adjusted Close19.24
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close9.84
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 46.12%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of AIV tends towards a value in the vicinity of 21.34 (the mean) and 19.24 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of AIV goes above 31.19 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 11.50 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of AIV goes above 41.03 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 1.66 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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