Back to list of Stocks See Also: Fourier Analysis of AHICX, Genetic Algorithms Stock Portfolio Generator,
and Best Months to Buy/Sell Stocks

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Seasonal Analysis of AHICX (AMERICAN HIGH-INCOME MUNICIPAL BOND FUND CLASS C)

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Seasonal Analysis

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Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits
and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations;

Using data from 1/2/2002 to 11/6/2017 for AHICX (AMERICAN HIGH-INCOME MUNICIPAL BOND FUND CLASS C), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:

Historically, the best month to buy AHICX is January

Historically, the best month to sell AHICX is September

In January, AHICX is historically down by -2.73%

In February, AHICX is historically down by -2.40%

In March, AHICX is historically down by -2.01%

In April, AHICX is historically down by -1.18%

In May, AHICX is historically up by 0.09%

In June, AHICX is historically up by 0.65%

In July, AHICX is historically up by 0.35%

In August, AHICX is historically up by 1.51%

In September, AHICX is historically up by 2.23%

In October, AHICX is historically up by 1.21%

In November, AHICX is historically up by 1.45%

In December, AHICX is historically up by 0.83%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of AHICXGeneral Statistics | |

Number of Data Points | 828 |

Start Date of Data | 1/2/2002 |

End Date of Data | 11/6/2017 |

Minimum Value of Adjusted Close | 8.18 |

Maximum Value of Adjusted Close | 15.97 |

Average Value of Adjusted Close | 11.40 |

Median Value of Adjusted Close | 10.65 |

Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close | 2.28 |

Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close | 19.95% |

The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of AHICX tends towards a value in the vicinity of 11.40 (the mean) and 10.65 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of AHICX goes above 13.68 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 9.13 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of AHICX goes above 15.95 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 6.85 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.

For the given time period, the price of AHICX tends towards a value in the vicinity of 11.40 (the mean) and 10.65 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of AHICX goes above 13.68 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 9.13 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of AHICX goes above 15.95 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 6.85 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.

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