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Seasonal Analysis of ADBE (Adobe Inc)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 8/13/1986 to 3/18/2019 for ADBE (Adobe Inc), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy ADBE is January
Historically, the best month to sell ADBE is November

In January, ADBE is historically down by -12.63%
In February, ADBE is historically down by -5.53%
In March, ADBE is historically down by -7.27%
In April, ADBE is historically up by 1.76%
In May, ADBE is historically up by 3.78%
In June, ADBE is historically up by 3.49%
In July, ADBE is historically up by 1.24%
In August, ADBE is historically up by 0.61%
In September, ADBE is historically down by -2.34%
In October, ADBE is historically up by 2.75%
In November, ADBE is historically up by 7.38%
In December, ADBE is historically up by 6.76%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of ADBE
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points1702
Start Date of Data8/13/1986
End Date of Data3/18/2019
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close0.38
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close274.69
Average Value of Adjusted Close35.20
Median Value of Adjusted Close20.17
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close51.28
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 145.68%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of ADBE tends towards a value in the vicinity of 35.20 (the mean) and 20.17 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of ADBE goes above 86.48 (mean + 1 standard deviation) , then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of ADBE goes above 137.75 (mean + 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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