Back to list of Stocks    See Also: Fourier Analysis of XTLGenetic Algorithms Stock Portfolio Generator, and Best Months to Buy/Sell Stocks

Seasonal Analysis of XTL (SPDR S&P Telecom ETF)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 1/27/2011 to 7/26/2021 for XTL (SPDR S&P Telecom ETF), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy XTL is January
Historically, the best month to sell XTL is September

In January, XTL is historically down by -3.43%
In February, XTL is historically down by -0.74%
In March, XTL is historically down by -1.40%
In April, XTL is historically down by -0.36%
In May, XTL is historically down by -1.07%
In June, XTL is historically down by -0.14%
In July, XTL is historically up by 1.47%
In August, XTL is historically down by -1.17%
In September, XTL is historically up by 3.96%
In October, XTL is historically down by -0.20%
In November, XTL is historically up by 1.28%
In December, XTL is historically up by 1.80%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of XTL
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points549
Start Date of Data1/27/2011
End Date of Data7/26/2021
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close33.73
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close104.38
Average Value of Adjusted Close58.10
Median Value of Adjusted Close54.67
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close14.94
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 25.71%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of XTL tends towards a value in the vicinity of 58.10 (the mean) and 54.67 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of XTL goes above 73.04 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 43.16 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of XTL goes above 87.98 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 28.22 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



Back to list of Stocks