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Seasonal Analysis of X (United States Steel Corporation)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 4/12/1991 to 8/9/2021 for X (United States Steel Corporation), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy X is October
Historically, the best month to sell X is February

In January, X is historically up by 3.65%
In February, X is historically up by 3.99%
In March, X is historically up by 3.74%
In April, X is historically up by 1.96%
In May, X is historically up by 0.98%
In June, X is historically up by 3.94%
In July, X is historically up by 0.61%
In August, X is historically down by -4.60%
In September, X is historically down by -3.17%
In October, X is historically down by -8.81%
In November, X is historically down by -4.37%
In December, X is historically up by 2.10%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of X
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points1584
Start Date of Data4/12/1991
End Date of Data8/9/2021
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close4.52
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close106.05
Average Value of Adjusted Close19.18
Median Value of Adjusted Close14.95
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close13.94
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 72.65%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of X tends towards a value in the vicinity of 19.18 (the mean) and 14.95 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of X goes above 33.12 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 5.24 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of X goes above 47.06 (mean + 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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