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Seasonal Analysis of WU (The Western Union Company)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 9/20/2006 to 7/26/2021 for WU (The Western Union Company), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy WU is February
Historically, the best month to sell WU is August

In January, WU is historically down by -0.86%
In February, WU is historically down by -6.20%
In March, WU is historically down by -3.84%
In April, WU is historically up by 1.42%
In May, WU is historically down by -0.79%
In June, WU is historically up by 1.93%
In July, WU is historically up by 0.90%
In August, WU is historically up by 4.73%
In September, WU is historically down by -1.27%
In October, WU is historically down by -1.13%
In November, WU is historically up by 1.05%
In December, WU is historically up by 4.06%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of WU
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points776
Start Date of Data9/20/2006
End Date of Data7/26/2021
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close7.31
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close26.18
Average Value of Adjusted Close15.48
Median Value of Adjusted Close15.09
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close3.62
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 23.40%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of WU tends towards a value in the vicinity of 15.48 (the mean) and 15.09 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of WU goes above 19.11 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 11.86 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of WU goes above 22.73 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 8.23 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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