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Seasonal Analysis of XOM (Exxon Mobil Corporation)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 11/5/1984 to 7/26/2021 for XOM (Exxon Mobil Corporation), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy XOM is January
Historically, the best month to sell XOM is December

In January, XOM is historically down by -6.05%
In February, XOM is historically down by -5.47%
In March, XOM is historically down by -3.89%
In April, XOM is historically down by -0.61%
In May, XOM is historically up by 0.30%
In June, XOM is historically up by 1.59%
In July, XOM is historically up by 2.19%
In August, XOM is historically up by 1.30%
In September, XOM is historically up by 1.90%
In October, XOM is historically up by 1.74%
In November, XOM is historically up by 1.51%
In December, XOM is historically up by 5.48%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of XOM
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points1917
Start Date of Data11/5/1984
End Date of Data7/26/2021
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close1.46
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close75.74
Average Value of Adjusted Close31.11
Median Value of Adjusted Close22.85
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close24.02
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 77.20%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of XOM tends towards a value in the vicinity of 31.11 (the mean) and 22.85 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of XOM goes above 55.13 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 7.09 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of XOM goes above 79.15 (mean + 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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