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Seasonal Analysis of WSM (Williams-Sonoma)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 7/7/1983 to 7/26/2021 for WSM (Williams-Sonoma), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy WSM is January
Historically, the best month to sell WSM is August

In January, WSM is historically down by -11.74%
In February, WSM is historically down by -9.43%
In March, WSM is historically down by -6.21%
In April, WSM is historically down by -1.83%
In May, WSM is historically down by -0.21%
In June, WSM is historically up by 3.55%
In July, WSM is historically up by 3.62%
In August, WSM is historically up by 7.31%
In September, WSM is historically up by 3.86%
In October, WSM is historically up by 1.47%
In November, WSM is historically up by 4.98%
In December, WSM is historically up by 4.62%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of WSM
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points1987
Start Date of Data7/7/1983
End Date of Data7/26/2021
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close0.20
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close186.01
Average Value of Adjusted Close22.23
Median Value of Adjusted Close13.71
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close27.00
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 121.44%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of WSM tends towards a value in the vicinity of 22.23 (the mean) and 13.71 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of WSM goes above 49.24 (mean + 1 standard deviation) , then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of WSM goes above 76.24 (mean + 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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