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Seasonal Analysis of WSO (Watsco)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 11/5/1984 to 7/26/2021 for WSO (Watsco), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy WSO is January
Historically, the best month to sell WSO is August

In January, WSO is historically down by -11.46%
In February, WSO is historically down by -7.58%
In March, WSO is historically down by -4.23%
In April, WSO is historically up by 1.88%
In May, WSO is historically up by 3.21%
In June, WSO is historically up by 0.86%
In July, WSO is historically up by 4.28%
In August, WSO is historically up by 4.68%
In September, WSO is historically up by 4.46%
In October, WSO is historically up by 0.54%
In November, WSO is historically up by 0.16%
In December, WSO is historically up by 3.21%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of WSO
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points1910
Start Date of Data11/5/1984
End Date of Data7/26/2021
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close0.88
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close300.44
Average Value of Adjusted Close41.82
Median Value of Adjusted Close10.78
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close58.84
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 140.69%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of WSO tends towards a value in the vicinity of 41.82 (the mean) and 10.78 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of WSO goes above 100.66 (mean + 1 standard deviation) , then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of WSO goes above 159.50 (mean + 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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